Harga ElonXAIDogeMessi69PepeInuBITCOIN

Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s leading cryptocurrency, has recently staged a recovery after hitting oversold conditions, sparking renewed interest and speculation about its next move. Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping below 30—a threshold signaling oversold territory—have historically preceded significant price surges. But with the crypto market’s volatility and macroeconomic factors at play, what can investors expect from Bitcoin in the near term? Let’s dive into the data, market sentiment, and key factors shaping BTC’s trajectory.The Oversold Bounce: What Happened?In recent weeks, Bitcoin experienced a sharp correction, dropping from highs near $98,000 to around $86,000, according to market reports from February 2025. This decline pushed Bitcoin’s RSI to levels not seen since August 2024, when a similar oversold condition led to a 33% price surge within two weeks, propelling BTC from $49,000 to $64,000. The RSI, a momentum oscillator ranging from 0 to 100, signals oversold conditions below 30, often indicating that selling pressure has exhausted itself, paving the way for a potential reversal.This time, the oversold signal triggered a quick response. Bitcoin rebounded, climbing back toward $90,000 as traders capitalized on the perceived buying opportunity. Trading volumes spiked, with reports of 35,000 BTC changing hands during the initial bounce, reflecting strong market interest. But while history suggests upside potential, the path forward is far from certain.Bullish Signals: Reasons for OptimismSeveral factors support a bullish outlook for Bitcoin in the short to medium term:Historical Precedent: As noted, oversold RSI conditions have often been a springboard for rallies. The August 2024 rebound serves as a compelling case study, and analysts like Ali Martinez have pointed to a potential target of $115,000 if the pattern repeats.On-Chain Data: Metrics like the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggest Bitcoin is approaching levels historically associated with market bottoms. When the MVRV dips near 1.9, as seen in March 2025, it indicates reduced selling pressure, setting the stage for accumulation and price recovery.Wave Trend Oscillator (WTO): Crypto analyst Javon Marks recently highlighted that Bitcoin’s WTO has rebounded from oversold zones, a pattern that has consistently preceded bull runs to new highs in this cycle. This technical signal underscores the possibility of another significant uptrend.Market Sentiment: Posts on X reflect growing confidence among some traders, with whale wallets (holding 1,000–10,000 BTC) reaching a four-month high, signaling accumulation by large players. Long-term holders also appear reluctant to sell, even at recent highs near $109,000, suggesting belief in further upside.Macro Tailwinds: Analysts like Tom Lee have predicted Bitcoin could reach $150,000 or more, driven by expectations of looser monetary policies and an end to quantitative tightening. A weakening U.S. dollar, as forecasted by Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, could further bolster BTC’s appeal as a hedge against fiat depreciation.Bearish Risks: Why Caution Is WarrantedDespite the optimism, Bitcoin’s path is not without obstacles. Several risks could derail the rally:CME Gap Concerns: Analyst Rekt Capital has warned that Bitcoin may need to fill a Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap between $78,000 and $80,700, formed in November 2024. CME gaps often act as magnets for price action, and a dip to this range could trigger further selling.Macroeconomic Headwinds: Recent market pullbacks have been linked to geopolitical tensions and trade tariffs, which could continue to weigh on risk assets like Bitcoin. Standard Chartered has forecasted a potential 10% drop, citing these pressures.Liquidation Risks: With over $2 billion in Bitcoin shorts at risk of liquidation above $80,000, as noted in early April 2025, a failure to sustain upward momentum could lead to cascading sell-offs, especially if leveraged positions unravel.Volatility and Sentiment Shifts: While some analysts dismiss the likelihood of a bear market, others, like those at 10x Research, warn of a possible drop below $80,000 if inflation data or policy shifts sour market sentiment.Technical Levels to WatchFor traders, key price levels will dictate Bitcoin’s next move:Support: The $80,000–$85,000 range is critical. Holding above this zone reinforces bullish momentum, while a break below could target the CME gap at $78,000 or even $73,000 (a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level).Resistance: Immediate resistance lies at $90,000, with a break above signaling a potential run toward $95,200 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement) or higher. A push past $100,000 would reignite talks of new all-time highs.The 4-hour RSI, currently recovering from oversold levels, could confirm bullish divergence if it forms higher lows alongside price action. A bullish crossover in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, as seen in late February 2025, would further strengthen the case for a trend reversal.What’s Next for Bitcoin?Bitcoin’s rebound from oversold conditions is a promising sign, but the market remains at a crossroads. A sustained move above $90,000 could pave the way for a rally toward $100,000 or beyond, fueled by technical momentum and macro tailwinds. However, failure to hold key support levels risks a deeper correction, potentially testing $78,000 or lower.Investors should approach with caution, balancing historical patterns with current risks. Diversifying strategies—such as dollar-cost averaging or waiting for confirmation of a trend reversal—can mitigate volatility’s impact. As always, Bitcoin’s future hinges on a complex interplay of technicals, sentiment, and global events.

Two major resistance levels coming in $BTC I had recently posted a potential long trade in $BTC now that both targets are done the first level to watch is ~84600 after that there's the major level at ~88,800. Watch these levels close because the volume at lower levels is adding to the conviction 🔍 If Bitcoin rises it will pump other Alt coins so track your fav coins closely, we're close to an inflection point

Planet Lunch News 1. Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of 1 million US dollars, and Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of 29.2 million US dollars; 2. Sun Yuchen responded to WSJ: I don’t know about the relevant rumors. CZ is my mentor and friend, and also my benefactor; 3. Trader Eugene: I have already shorted ETH, SOL, and XRP in small amounts when BTC reached 83,500. I don’t think the market is sustainable; 4. DWF Labs received another 5 million USD1 9 hours ago, becoming the top 2 institution holding positions on the chain; 5. The US Senate proposed to impose emission fees on high-energy-consuming data centers, and Bitcoin mining companies may be affected; 6. McDonald’s wrote to the US SEC: It has no intention to discuss Bitcoin reserve-related proposals at the May shareholders’ meeting; 7. Ethena Labs launched the USDe reserve certificate and will publish the proof results once a week; 8. Movement: A Cornucopia snapshot will be taken tonight, and rewards will be issued and withdrawals will be opened next week; 9. Wayfinder (PROMPT) short-term breakthrough of 0.48 USDT, 24H increase of 163.14%.

Draft legislation in the US Senate threatens to hit data centers serving blockchain networks and artificial intelligence models with fees if they exceed federal emissions targets, according to an April 11 Bloomberg report.  Led by Senate Democrats Sheldon Whitehouse and John Fetterman, the draft bill purportedly aims to address environmental impacts from rising energy demand and protect households from higher energy bills, Bloomberg said. Dubbed the Clean Cloud Act, the legislation mandates that the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) set an emissions performance standard for data centers and crypto mining facilities with over 100 KW of installed IT nameplate power. The standard would be based on regional grid emissions intensities, with an 11% annual reduction target. The legislation also includes penalties for emissions exceeding the set standard, starting at $20 per ton of CO2e, with the penalty increasing annually by inflation plus an additional $10. “Surging power demand from cryptominers and data centers is outpacing the growth of carbon-free electricity,” notes a minority blog post on the US Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works website, adding that data centers’ electricity usage is projected to account for up to 12% of the US total power demand by 2028. According to research from Morgan Stanley, the rapid growth of data centers is projected to generate approximately 2.5 billion metric tons of CO2 emissions globally by the end of the decade. For Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s head of research, the proposed legislation effectively seeks to single out Bitcoin  BTC $83,351  miners and similar operations for energy consumption in a “Losing ‘Blame the Server Racks’ Strategy,” he said in an April 11 X post. 

After plunging over 30% from its all-time high and briefly dropping below $75,000, Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery. The broader crypto market rebounded sharply this week, helped by a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump for all countries except China, which remains under a 125% tariff. This unexpected shift in trade policy helped ease some macroeconomic pressure and sparked a wave of optimism across global markets. Related Reading: Over 85% Of Bitcoin Holders Still In Profit Despite Tariff-Driven Correction – Resilience On Display Bitcoin’s bounce from the lows has renewed confidence among bulls who believe the worst of the correction may be over. While volatility remains high, some on-chain signals are now pointing to a potential bottom formation. CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler shared a compelling chart on X, highlighting the Bitcoin Futures Perpetual Funding Rate. Since BTC hit its ATH, the 7-day moving average of the Funding Rate has been trending downward—a key stress signal in bull markets. Adler explains that when this average turns negative, it often reflects rising market tension as traders aggressively open short positions. This shift can lead to funding flipping negative, a condition historically associated with capitulation and, potentially, the start of strong recovery phases.