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JUST IN: 🇮🇱🇺🇸 Israel offers to negotiate new free trade deal with the US to avoid tariffs

The US economy is in the very early stages of a severe deceleration (and potential recession). This will start to matter in June, and start to show up in economic data published in July. Then things could get spooky by Q3/Q4. Trump can and will revert some of this. How much, that's everyone's guess. However, this is is not relevant for markets in the short-term. What matters now is not the economy, but further de-escalation, and earnings guidance from Wednesday onwards, starting with Caterpillar, followed by tech stocks. Don't think payrolls (next Friday) matter much at the moment given its backwards looking nature (and it's likely too early for layoffs). The FOMC next week will be much more important, as Powell may start to show a willingness to cut earlier. Short-term, my base case scenario remains higher risk in light of continued tariff de-escalation (likely IMO) and no major negative earnings surprises (more of a coin-toss, as very negative guidance is on the cards), coupled with further implied vol compression. Albeit with large swings both ways. I've been de-risking lightly around here after getting very long after Trump announced the 90-day pause on tariffs, as a simple matter of risk-reward. My preferred expression of upside risk remains bitcoin (not equities). Granted, I am biased, but do think that it has started to trade as a risk/gold hybrid (still more weighted towards risk) and therefore it may provide a very rare "tails I win, heads I win as well" risk profile. The jury is still out. Mid-term, I do not know if H2 will be a raging bull market or a crash and burn 2008 style market. Both are ironically possible. We will have to see in what direction and how aggressively Trump decides to swing. And what other measures he pushes through (e.g. tax cuts). My base case scenario is somewhere in the middle. That said, the most important thing here is that Trump has introduced a massive left tail that it would normally not exist. The tariffs 90 day extension ends on July 8th. It's worthy to mention that many altcoins have run dramatically from the lows. I would caution people on chasing alts up here. There is zero reason to FOMO in a Trump 2.0 world. There will be dips. Many dips. Finally, it is more important than ever to push aside political biases. If markets go on a free-fall, you do not want to get stuck with no cash in hand because you are pro Trump. Similarly, if sufficient trade deals take place to soften the economic blow and greatly reduce the risk of retaliatory rounds, and the Fed starts cutting, markets could easily decouple from the economy for an extended period of time, and being bearish because you are anti Trump may cost you a very hefty sum. I am very much aware this post does not conclusively say up or down. Sorry to disappoint. Happy trading, and thanks for all the fish.

🚀 $BNB/USDT – Bullish Breakout Incoming! Eyes on New Highs! 📈🔥 $BNB is holding strong above the reclaimed support zone — showing bullish strength and preparing for a breakout toward higher levels! 📊 Trade Setup: • Entry: Buy near $605 - $606 • TP1: $608.24 ✅ (Immediate Resistance) • TP2: $610.95 🚀 (Expansion Target) • Stop-Loss: Below $604.30 (Support Invalidated) 🔎 Why This Trade is 🔥? ✅ Support Flip – Previous resistance flipped into clean support. ✅ Strong Price Action – Buyers defending the levels aggressively. ✅ Breakout Imminent – Minor consolidation under resistance = breakout pressure building! ⚡ Pro Strategy for Maximum Gains: 🔹 Confirm breakout above $606 with strong candle close before entry. 🔹 Secure partial profits at TP1 and ride the rest towards TP2. 🔹 Move SL to breakeven after TP1 for a risk-free ride! 🔥 Ready to ride the BNB wave? Comment "BNB TO MOON" 🚀 if you're in on this setup! #BNB #apagon #uzaksehir #zonauang #CryptoSignals #Analysis #CryptoMaster786

Arbitrage is a trading strategy that involves exploiting price differences between two or more markets, platforms, or instruments. Here are some key insights: *Types of Arbitrage:* - *Spatial Arbitrage*: Exploiting price differences between different geographic markets or exchanges. - *Temporal Arbitrage*: Taking advantage of price differences between different time periods or futures contracts. - *Statistical Arbitrage*: Identifying mispricings in securities based on statistical models. *Benefits:* - *Risk-Free Profits*: Arbitrage opportunities can provide risk-free profits, as the price difference is locked in at the time of the trade. - *Market Efficiency*: Arbitrage helps to improve market efficiency by eliminating price discrepancies. *Challenges:* - *Market Volatility*: Rapid price movements can make it difficult to execute arbitrage trades. - *Competition*: Arbitrage opportunities are often short-lived, as other traders quickly exploit them. - *Transaction Costs*: High transaction costs can eat into arbitrage profits. *Tools and Strategies:* - *Automated Trading Bots*: Using algorithms to identify and execute arbitrage opportunities. - *Real-Time Data Feeds*: Monitoring market prices and news in real-time to identify arbitrage opportunities. - *Risk Management*: Implementing stop-loss orders and position sizing to manage risk. *Applications:* - *Cryptocurrency Arbitrage*: Exploiting price differences between cryptocurrency exchanges. - *Forex Arbitrage*: Taking advantage of price discrepancies in foreign exchange markets. - *Stock Arbitrage*: Identifying mispricings in stock markets [2].

Chinese e-commerce giants Shein and Temu are raising prices for U.S. shoppers, passing the burden of new tariffs directly onto them as impending tariff implementations unfold. The Trump administration moved to impose high import duties on Chinese imports, ending the “de minimis” exemption, which makes goods worth $800 or less imported to the U.S from countries like China tariff-free. However, with the new rule coming into full effect on May 2, these goods will start seeing the application of the tariffs in full force, with more duties to come in the following months. These changes have made major e-commerce platforms like Shein and Temu , leveraging the de minimis exemption and a lower tariff to operate in the American market update their prices to fit the new reality. This means that U.S. buyers who once turned to these platforms for low-cost goods are now facing significantly higher prices. Shein , which is also one of the world’s largest fast-fashion retailers, has quietly raised prices across its platform by as much as 377%, according to Bloomberg. The price increase is especially apparent in categories like clothing, accessories, shoes, and kitchenware. For example, some dresses that were previously priced under $10 are now listed at over $45. Accessories and seasonal items, known for being extremely cheap, have seen price hikes of two to three times their original cost. While Shein did not issue a formal public statement, company insiders cited by Bloomberg attributed the increases directly to anticipated costs from the new tariffs, coupled with elevated shipping and operational expenses. Temu, known for its long line of discounted products, is also adjusting prices upward and in some cases increasing them by twice their initial prices. Shoppers browsing electronics, kitchen gadgets, and home goods have reported price increases of up to 100% on certain listings. Temu, which has aggressively expanded in the U.S. since 2022 with ultra-low prices and heavy marketing campaigns, is now facing the challenge of maintaining its growth momentum in a higher-cost environment. In its communications with sellers and suppliers, Temu has reportedly urged partners to brace for the impact of tariffs and to adjust pricing accordingly to offset cost pressures. At the center of the price hikes are the new 120% tariffs on select Chinese goods announced by the Trump administration. The U.S. government argues that the tariff increases are necessary to curb China’s dominance in key sectors, protect American jobs, and address what it describes as unfair trade practices. Officials said the measures aim to promote domestic manufacturing and reduce U.S. dependence on Chinese supply chains. According to officials, the new duties are expected to generate billions in additional revenue for the U.S. government. Still, they will almost certainly be felt by everyday consumers in the form of higher prices. Reports suggest that companies like Shein and Temu are merely the first wave, with other major retailers expected to follow suit as the tariff regime fully kicks in. The timing could not be worse for American consumers. Temu and Shein have gained some following and repeat customers by offering products at very affordable prices, often cheaper than Amazon or Walmart. However, the steep price adjustments could dampen consumer enthusiasm and open the door for domestic or alternative suppliers. Cryptopolitan Academy: Coming Soon - A New Way to Earn Passive Income with DeFi in 2025. Learn More