ราคา SPX69000SPX

$SPX | S&P 500 closed above key resistance. - Last week, the SPX closed above the 50% Fib retracement (from ATH to recent lows) - Close above previous swing lows and breakdown area - Took out the downward trendline from ATH - Formation of HH and HL in the short time frame The next major resistance is sitting at the 200D SMA. We are watching this week’s price action closely, and we’re well positioned with entries much lower. Analysis by @onelifecrypto.

$BTC is catching up really fast now. Since the bottom, BTC is nearly 25% and is now outperforming Gold and SPX. Interestingly, Gold is trending down, which shows that liquidity rotation from Gold to BFC has started. I already said that before: "When Gold pumps, BTC pumps even harder."

Despite earlier expecting significant downside, time acceptance has nearly invalidated that thesis. Equities (SPX) also looking like there is potential relief in it too towards 5.7-5.8K'ish. TLDR: bias cautiously shifting toward upside

I‘ve often heard that $BTC will rise because M2 rises along this chart. IMO this is complete nonsense and I‘ll explain you why. First of all most of these BTC/M2 comparisons are fundamentally flawed. Reasons: 1. Global M2 Money Supply is not denominated in Bitcoin or USD price terms. M2 measures all money supply (cash, checking, savings accounts, money market securities, etc.) globally — it’s trillions of dollars, not correlated 1:1 with Bitcoin’s USD price. Mapping it like this is fundamentally wrong. 2. The scaling is completely artificial. Often the M2 Money Supply (yellow line) is scaled on the Y axis onto the Bitcoin chart — but without proper normalization. They basically “forced” it to look similar by stretching it over the Bitcoin price range — no setious Analyst does this 3. The 90 Days Offset is arbitrary and misleading. Shifting one dataset by 90 days forward doesn’t prove causality. It’s just data fitting after the fact to create fake-looking “correlations.” 4. Exponential M2 Growth is real — but Bitcoin doesn’t mechanically follow it. Yes, more money printing (higher M2) theoretically leads to asset inflation, but Bitcoin’s price is influenced by many more factors: adoption, speculation, regulation, mining economics, liquidity cycles, etc. Bitcoin =/= direct function of M2. It’s a severe oversimplification. 5. M2 goes vertical — Bitcoin does not so far. If Bitcoin would mirror this M2 Graph directly, you’d already see Bitcoin at higher prices. Most of these charts try to force a narrative (“Bitcoin will explode because M2 exploded”) without any real statistical or economic backing. It’s pure hopium propaganda, not analysis. So let’s dive into the TRUTH of the correlation between $BTC and M2 and let’s add SPX as reference. Have a look at chart attached: Global M2 (Blue): Steady, slow growth year by year. Think of it as a slow-moving ocean current S&P 500 (Green): Gradual, more predictable growth, with relatively mild fluctuations compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin (Orange): Very volatile movements — huge booms and busts — but when smoothed, you can see that Bitcoin’s general trend sometimes moves in the same direction as the S&P 500. => Bitcoin behaves more like a “high-beta tech stock” rather than a pure inflation hedge tied to M2. So this is the true relationship between BTC and M2 and SPX: Bitcoin vs S&P 500: There is some directional correlation — when stocks rise, Bitcoin often rises too (but with much bigger swings). Bitcoin vs M2: There is a weak long-term background support from M2 growth, but short-term movements are not tightly linked at all. Bitcoin is a liquidity amplifier — But it is NOT a simple liquidity mirror. It thrives when liquidity is abundant, but it explodes or crashes based on market psychology, not just M2 expansion. In other words: Bitcoin is fueled by liquidity, but it’s moved by excitement, speculation, and risk appetite far more than M2 itself.

I‘ve often heard that $BTC will go parabolic because M2 does too. IMO this is complete nonsense and I‘ll explain you why. First of all most of these BTC/M2 comparison charts are fundamentally flawed (example attached). Reasons: 1. Global M2 Money Supply is not denominated in Bitcoin or USD price terms. M2 measures all money supply (cash, checking, savings accounts, money market securities, etc.) globally — it’s trillions of dollars, not correlated 1:1 with Bitcoin’s USD price. Mapping it like this is fundamentally wrong. 2. The scaling is completely artificial. Often the M2 Money Supply (yellow line) is scaled on the Y axis onto the Bitcoin chart — but without proper normalization. They basically “forced” it to look similar by stretching it over the Bitcoin price range — no setious Analyst does this 3. The 90 Days Offset is arbitrary and misleading. Shifting one dataset by 90 days forward doesn’t prove causality. It’s just data fitting after the fact to create fake-looking “correlations.” 4. Exponential M2 Growth is real — but Bitcoin doesn’t mechanically follow it. Yes, more money printing (higher M2) theoretically leads to asset inflation, but Bitcoin’s price is influenced by many more factors: adoption, speculation, regulation, mining economics, liquidity cycles, etc. Bitcoin =/= direct function of M2. It’s a severe oversimplification. 5. M2 goes vertical — Bitcoin does not so far. If Bitcoin would mirror this M2 Graph directly, you’d already see Bitcoin at higher prices. Most of these charts try to force a narrative (“Bitcoin will explode because M2 exploded”) without any real statistical or economic backing. It’s pure hopium propaganda, not analysis. So let’s dive into the TRUTH of the correlation between $BTC and M2 and let’s add SPX as reference. Have a look at chart attached: Global M2 (Blue): Steady, slow growth year by year. Think of it as a slow-moving ocean current S&P 500 (Green): Gradual, more predictable growth, with relatively mild fluctuations compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin (Orange): Very volatile movements — huge booms and busts — but when smoothed, you can see that Bitcoin’s general trend sometimes moves in the same direction as the S&P 500. => Bitcoin behaves more like a “high-beta tech stock” rather than a pure inflation hedge tied to M2. So this is the true relationship between BTC and M2 and SPX: Bitcoin vs S&P 500: There is some directional correlation — when stocks rise, Bitcoin often rises too (but with much bigger swings). Bitcoin vs M2: There is a weak long-term background support from M2 growth, but short-term movements are not tightly linked at all. Bitcoin is a liquidity amplifier — But it is NOT a simple liquidity mirror. It thrives when liquidity is abundant, but it explodes or crashes based on market psychology, not just M2 expansion. In other words: Bitcoin is fueled by liquidity, but it’s moved by excitement, speculation, and risk appetite far more than M2 itself.