Act I : The AI Prophecy 價格ACT

The SEC issued a statement clarifying the applicability of meme coins. The statement notes that meme coins are crypto assets inspired by internet memes, characters, or trends, typically lacking practical functionality. The SEC believes that transactions involving meme coins do not constitute the offering and sale of securities, meaning participants are not required to register under the Securities Act and are not protected by federal securities laws.

CryptoQuant analyst: Bitcoin $BTC in oversold zone, possible rebound ahead CryptoQuant analyst tugbachain reported that the NVT Golden Cross indicator has dropped below -2.4, signaling oversold conditions and a potential local bottom. If a rebound occurs, the 111-day moving average (DMA) at $96,895 could act as resistance.

Next Possible Move on Monthly Candle for ARB/USDT: 1. Technical Analysis: ✅ Support Levels: 0.346 is a key support level, as it is the recent six-month low. If the price falls below this, the next possible support is around 0.333 or lower. ✅ Resistance Levels: The nearest resistance is at 0.579 (last month's low). Above this, 0.674 - 0.721 will act as a strong resistance zone. ✅ Indicator Analysis: RSI (6) = 32.9 → Near the oversold zone, meaning a possible small bounce. MACD is negative → Indicating a higher chance of further decline unless strong buying comes in. MA(5) and MA(10) are trending downward → Suggesting continued bearish momentum. --- 2. Next Possible Moves (Scenarios): 📉 Bearish Scenario (More Likely) If the price breaks below 0.346, it could drop further to 0.333 - 0.310. The current downward trend remains strong, and further selling pressure could push it lower. MACD being negative confirms the weakness. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely) If the price holds 0.346 as support and bounces, it could rise toward 0.579. To go higher, it must break 0.674 - 0.721, which seems difficult under current market conditions. --- 3. Conclusion: Higher Probability: The price may drop further, especially toward 0.333 - 0.310. Lower Probability: If buyers step in, a small bounce could happen, but strong resistance at 0.579 - 0.674 may stop further growth. Best Approach: Wait and watch—if 0.346 support breaks, expect more downside. 📌 Caution: Wait for more confirmation before entering a position, as bearish pressure is still dominant.

Crypto executives say the British ban on crypto derivatives is hurting retail investors rather than protecting them. Crypto execs are slamming the U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority over its ban on crypto derivatives, saying it’s hurting retail investors more than helping them. Joshua Barraclough, CEO of One Trading and a former JPMorgan executive in an interview with Financial News said the “terrible” ban is “harming consumers,” suggesting that people should be able to make their own investment choices, even if they come with risks. Konstantinos Adamos, Revolut’s legal counsel for crypto, shared similar views. He noted that while the FCA’s concerns about the complexity and volatility of crypto derivatives are understandable, retail investors should still be allowed to decide for themselves. Carly Nuzbach Lowery, founder of Gateway 21, believes that the ban is outdated, as it feels “blunt” and unnecessary. You might also like: Coinbase CPO urges US Congress to act on crypto regulation The FCA first introduced the ban in 2020, reaffirming it later in a March 2024 update. FCA’s tough stance on crypto has driven firms like crypto exchange Bybit to suspend their operations in the United Kingdom. Only 14% of the 368 crypto registration applications received by the FCA since 2020 have been approved so far. Meanwhile, the FCA failed to remove all illegal crypto ads as nearly half of flagged promotions still online. As crypto.news reported earlier, between October 2023 and October 2024, the FCA issued over 1,700 alerts about illegal crypto ads, apps, and websites. However, less than 55% were taken down. Read more: FCA doubles down on hawkish crypto stance to fight money laundering

📊 BTC/USDT Analysis – Potential Reversal or Further Downside? Checkout my post from 9th Jan and earlier i already mentioned this situation. Hope it helped. BTC is currently trading at $86,361, showing a downward movement as expected. The highlighted liquidity zone ($80,000 - $86,000) is a key level that could determine the next major trend. 🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Observations: 1. Support Zone: BTC has entered a key demand zone (~$80,000 - $86,000), which has historically led to strong reversals (marked by yellow circles). 2. Gap-Filling Move: The chart suggests that a potential liquidity sweep in this zone might be necessary before a strong rally occurs. 3. Resistance Levels: The next resistance zones to watch are at $87,217, $89,513, $93,048, and $96,774. --- 🚀 Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds the $80,000 - $86,000 support zone and forms a strong reversal candle, we could see a sharp move upward. A breakout above $96,774 would confirm the bullish momentum, targeting $99,319, $102,583, and even $104,496. This move would align with the idea of filling the gap and continuing the bull run. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to hold $86,000 and breaks below $80,000, a deeper correction is likely. The next major support lies at $72,901, which could act as the final downside target before a recovery. Increased selling pressure and negative macro factors could accelerate this move. --- 🔑 Conclusion: BTC is at a crucial inflection point—either it holds the current zone for a massive rally, or it breaks down for a deeper correction. Watch for daily candle closes and volume confirmations before making any trading decisions. 🔥 What do you think? Will BTC bounce or break down further? #CryptoAnalysis $BTC