US Inflation Dips to 2.8%, But Blockchain Data Suggests It’s Even Lower
Inflation in the United States is steadily easing, as the most recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report highlights a decline in the inflation rate to 2.8%, edging tantalizingly close to the 2% threshold sought by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
This subtle yet noteworthy dip suggests a gradual moderation in price pressures, offering a glimmer of relief amid ongoing economic recalibrations. The data, while modest, signals a potential shift in inflationary trends, inviting closer scrutiny from analysts and policymakers alike.
Moreover, Core CPI inflation—an indicator that strips out volatile food and energy prices—slipped to 3.1%, narrowly missing the forecasted 3.2%. This drop represents the first instance since July 2024 where both headline and Core CPI have simultaneously retreated. Yet, even amid this encouraging development, the outlook for an imminent rate cut grew decidedly less optimistic.
According to CME Group’s Fedwatch tool, which draws insights from CME’s futures markets, the probability of the U.S. Federal Reserve holding steady on the federal funds rate stands at a striking 99%. This near-certainty reflects a market consensus that the central bank is unlikely to pivot toward rate cuts in the immediate future.
Truflation’s US Inflation Index on March 12, 2025.
Equally interesting is the observation by Truflation, a blockchain-powered platform engineered to deliver real-time, transparent, and precise inflation metrics, which estimates the U.S. inflation rate at a modest 1.32%. By harnessing decentralized technology, Truflation aggregates and scrutinizes pricing information from a diverse array of sources, such as e-commerce sites, government datasets, and financial entities.
The latest inflation metrics, while signaling moderating price pressures, showcase the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance amid mixed signals. Though traditional indices approach target levels, alternative data like Truflation’s blockchain-derived figures suggest even sharper disinflation. With markets overwhelmingly anticipating steady rates, policymakers appear committed to sustaining restrictive measures until sustained stability is evident.
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Ethereum Price Prediction: Will ETH Survive the Market Sell-Off?
Ethereum price has been experiencing significant downward pressure, leaving investors wondering if this is a buying opportunity or the start of a prolonged decline. The recent price action has shown Ethereum struggling to hold key support levels, with ETH price currently trading at $1,887. The cryptocurrency market, including Ethereum, has been facing challenges due to macro uncertainty, regulatory concerns, and decreased investor confidence.
With Ethereum’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 23.61, it has entered oversold territory, which often signals that a potential bounce could be on the horizon. However, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains deep in negative territory, suggesting that bearish momentum is still in control. This raises the key question— will Ethereum stage a strong rebound, or is ETH heading for further losses?
Ethereum’s decline can be attributed to multiple factors, including overall market sentiment, increasing competition from alternative blockchains, and macroeconomic conditions. The broader cryptocurrency market downturn has led to significant liquidations, and Ethereum has not been immune to this trend.
Ethereum gas fees have remained volatile, making some users migrate to cheaper Layer-1 and Layer-2 solutions. These challenges have raised questions about whether Ethereum’s dominance in the smart contract ecosystem is under threat.
Despite these concerns, Ethereum continues to have strong institutional backing, a robust developer community, and ongoing network upgrades. However, the price action remains bearish in the short term, and Ethereum must reclaim key levels to confirm a bullish reversal.
Ethereum’s price action remains under strong selling pressure , and the current chart suggests that ETH is testing a critical support zone between $1,850 and $1,800. If Ethereum fails to hold this level, further downside could push ETH toward $1,600 or even $1,400 in an extreme bearish scenario.
The RSI at 23.61 indicates that Ethereum is oversold, suggesting that a bounce could be expected soon. Historically, ETH has seen strong recoveries when RSI dips below 30, but this is not a guaranteed reversal. For a bullish comeback, Ethereum must reclaim $2,000 and hold it as support.
The MACD remains deep in negative territory, showing that bearish momentum is still dominant. Until Ethereum sees a bullish crossover on the MACD, buyers should remain cautious.
If Ethereum manages to hold the $1,850 support and break back above $2,200, it could signal a trend reversal, with a mid-term target of $2,500-$2,700. However, if sellers maintain control and ETH loses $1,800, further declines could be in store before a recovery can take place.
Ethereum remains a long-term powerhouse in the blockchain space, and its fundamentals continue to be strong. The Ethereum network upgrade roadmap, institutional interest, and increasing real-world use cases make it a compelling investment. However, the short-term technical outlook remains uncertain.
In a bearish scenario , Ethereum could see a deeper correction, testing $1,600-$1,400 before finding significant support. If the crypto market enters a prolonged bear phase, ETH might struggle to regain momentum in the short term.
In a bullish scenario, if ETH price reclaims $2,500 and breaks key resistance at $3,000, it could regain its uptrend and push toward $4,000-$5,000 in 2025. A major catalyst, such as institutional adoption, ETF approval, or increased DeFi activity, could fuel a strong rally for Ethereum.
ETH price is currently at a critical decision point, and its next move will determine whether it rebounds or continues its downtrend. While the long-term fundamentals remain bullish, the short-term price action suggests that Ethereum is still under pressure.
For investors looking for short-term gains, waiting for confirmation of a reversal above $2,200 would be a safer strategy. However, for long-term holders, Ethereum at these levels presents a solid accumulation opportunity, given its historical tendency to recover strongly after major corrections.
Ethereum’s future remains bright, but in the short term, traders should watch key support levels and technical indicators before making decisions. If ETH can hold above $1,850 and reclaim $2,200+, a rally toward new highs in 2025 remains a strong possibility.