Polymarket shows a 60% probability of the United States falling into recession by 2025
Golden Finance reports that, according to Polymarket prediction market data, the probability of the United States falling into a recession in 2025 has risen to 60%. The total trading volume of this prediction market has reached $2.48 million, with an expiration date of February 28, 2026. Data shows that the probability in this prediction market has been steadily rising since early March, gradually climbing from around 20% to the current 60%. According to market rules, if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) announces a recession within 2025 or if data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) shows negative GDP growth for two consecutive quarters, this prediction will be judged as "yes".
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Circle: CCTP V2 is now live on Arbitrum and will soon support World Chain
El Salvador Purchases Another Bitcoin as Part of Its Strategic Reserve
BlackRock IBIT Holdings Exceed 600,000 BTC
Trending news
MoreCrypto prices
More








