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Bitcoin BTCUSD  exchanges are getting a key “deleveraging event,” which should shape future gains, new research says. In one of its “Quicktake” blog posts on March 17, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant revealed a $10 billion capitulation on Bitcoin futures markets. Bitcoin sees “essential” event for BTC price rebound Bitcoin derivatives traders have flipped firmly risk-off since BTCUSD  hit its current all-time highs in mid-January. CryptoQuant, which uses data from various major crypto exchanges, calculates that aggregate open interest (OI) on futures fell by $10 billion in just three weeks from Feb. 20 through March 4.  “On January 17th, Bitcoin's open interest reached an all-time high of over $33B, indicating that leverage in the market had never been this high,” contributor Darkfost writes. The drop, he argues, “can be considered as a natural market reset, an essential phase for sustaining a bullish continuation.” An accompanying chart shows the 90-day rolling change in aggregate OI, highlighting the severity of the market’s U-turn following the all-time highs. “Currently, the 90-day change in Bitcoin futures open interest has dropped sharply and now sitting at -14%,” Darkfost concludes.  “Looking at historical trends, each past deleveraging like this has provided good opportunities for the short to medium term.” Crypto “demand crisis” emerges Continuing, fellow CryptoQuant contributor Kriptolik eyed increasingly active derivatives markets overall since November 2024. Stablecoin reserves across derivatives exchanges are increasing, he revealed this week, even surpassing spot markets. This, however, is no recipe for price upside. “When we analyze the volume and circulation of stablecoins, which act as fuel in the market, we see that despite a rapid increase in total stablecoin supply since November 2024, this has not necessarily benefited the market or investors significantly,” another blog post explains. Kriptolik described spot markets as suffering a “demand crisis.” “Until this distribution normalizes, avoiding high-leverage (high-risk) trades may be the most prudent approach,” he added. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. $BTC

Bitcoin has been caught in a range-bound, highly volatile pattern lately, leaving traders and investors questioning: What’s next? Will macroeconomic factors be the catalyst for a decisive breakout—or breakdown? Let’s take a deep dive into how upcoming macro events could shape Bitcoin’s price action and why every trader should keep a close eye on these triggers. --- 1. The Federal Reserve & Interest Rates: Bitcoin’s Hidden Driver One of the primary factors influencing BTC's recent price behavior is the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy. As inflation data cools but remains sticky, traders are anxiously awaiting the Fed’s next move. Why it matters: Higher interest rates = tighter liquidity = risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin, often perceived as a risk asset, tends to underperform in hawkish environments. However, a pause or rate cuts could fuel bullish sentiment, making BTC attractive as a hedge against fiat currency debasement and easing credit conditions. Key Watchpoint: The upcoming FOMC meetings and CPI data releases could trigger strong volatility. A dovish shift might just provide the spark BTC needs to break key resistance zones. --- 2. Spot Bitcoin ETFs: The Institutional Wildcard Since the approval of multiple Spot Bitcoin ETFs, institutional money has slowly but steadily been flowing into the space. While initial excitement drove a rally, the market has since consolidated as inflows stabilize. Why it matters: Sustained ETF inflows signal long-term institutional confidence. This reduces available BTC supply on exchanges, potentially creating a supply squeeze. However, if global risk sentiment deteriorates, institutions may reduce exposure, leading to outflows and price weakness. Key Metric: Tracking daily net inflows/outflows into major Bitcoin ETFs is crucial. If we see consistent large inflows, it could serve as a strong bullish signal, especially if paired with macro easing. --- 3. Correlation with Traditional Markets: Risk-On or Safe Haven? Bitcoin’s price often mirrors broader equity indices like the S&P 500 or Nasdaq, especially during uncertain times. However, BTC has also shown tendencies to decouple during periods of financial instability. Why it matters: If traditional markets rally on expectations of lower rates or improving economic conditions, BTC is likely to follow. Conversely, in the case of a sharp stock market correction, Bitcoin may initially drop, only to later rebound if investors view it as a hedge against fiat instability. Watch Correlation: Keep an eye on the BTC/S&P500 correlation coefficient—a breakdown in correlation could signal shifting investor perception. --- 4. Global Geopolitical Risks: Black Swan Potential With rising tensions globally (trade wars, military conflicts, sanctions), Bitcoin’s narrative as "digital gold" and a decentralized, borderless asset becomes more relevant. Why it matters: In times of geopolitical uncertainty, capital often flees to hard assets. BTC could benefit if traditional currencies and stock markets face pressure. But heightened fear could also cause liquidity crunches, leading to sharp but temporary sell-offs. --- Conclusion: Volatility Inevitable, Direction Uncertain Bitcoin is coiled tightly, with both bullish and bearish forces in play. Macro events—be it Fed decisions, ETF flows, or geopolitical shifts—will likely determine the direction of BTC's breakout. Traders should brace for heightened volatility and stay alert to these macro indicators. --- Key Levels to Watch: Support: $60,000 - $62,000 zone Resistance: $68,000 - $70,000 ATH retest Volatility Spike Expected: Around FOMC announcements, CPI releases, and major ETF inflow reports. --- What’s Your Take? Will macro easing fuel the next leg up, or will external shocks drag Bitcoin lower before a rebound? Share your insights and let’s discuss!

Bittensor ($TAO ) Analysis 📊 Bittensor, one of the top projects in the AI & DePIN sectors, is currently accumulating above the key zone while still trading below the ATH resistance 🧐 Trend: Bullish reversal in sight Accumulation: Price is currently at the lower trendline of the falling wedge, indicating a strong buying opportunity. 📌 Best strategy? This is a good opportunity to load a bag of $TAO at the current levels! In the worst-case scenario, I will average my position below the key zone 🚀 Price Targets 🎯 ✅ Target 1: $736.7 ✅ Target 2: $1,012.9 🚀 A breakout above key resistance could fuel a strong rally to four-digit levels!

Bitcoin ($BTC USD) has maintained stability after rebounding from the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last week. This level previously supported the Bull Cycle Channel’s Higher Low on August 5, 2024, reinforcing its significance in BTC’s price action. However, another major support level may be in play—the Pivot trend-line originating from the April 12, 2021, high. Initially acting as resistance, it saw two more rejection points before now being tested as support for the first time. Looking at the previous cycle (2018–2021), a similar Pivot trend-line supported Bitcoin during the final phase of its parabolic rally in January and June 2021. Notably, the June 2021 contact also aligned with the 1W MA50, mirroring the current setup. That dual support triggered the last rebound toward a new All-Time High (ATH) for the cycle. Additionally, the 1W CCI patterns between these fractals show strong similarities. If history repeats, a 1W CCI reading near 200.00 could mark an ideal profit-taking level. Based on this, we anticipate the current Channel Up formation to fuel BTC’s bullish leg, potentially driving it to a new ATH—the cycle’s ultimate peak. Do you think this confluence of the Pivot trend-line and 1W MA50 will support BTC’s next major rally? Share your thoughts in the comments!

The Bitcoin market is witnessing a significant shift as a new group of substantial investors steps onto the scene. Over the past few months, a fresh wave of high-net-worth individuals has been rapidly accumulating Bitcoin. These new “whales”—wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC that were acquired within the last six months—have collectively amassed over 1 million BTC since November 2024. What’s particularly striking is the accelerating pace of their accumulation. This month alone, they’ve snapped up over 200,000 BTC. This significant influx of capital signals strong confidence in Bitcoin’s future and could very well be the fuel that pushes its price to new heights in the coming months. According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, this notable uptick in whale activity indicates a significant arrival of fresh capital, likely from institutional investors or very wealthy individuals. The fact that they’ve acquired these large amounts of Bitcoin relatively recently suggests they’re entering the market at current price levels with a strong belief in its future growth potential. Moreover, the consistent buying trend displayed by these whales could act as a key stabilizing force for Bitcoin. If this pattern continues, it could help minimize those sharp, sudden price drops we sometimes see, leading to more market stability and potentially setting the stage for record-breaking price levels. As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $82,904.58 , with a circulating supply of 20 million BTC and a total market capitalization of $1.63 trillion. Related: Bitcoin’s 30% Correction: Healthy Pullback or Bear Market Start? With this level of participation from these new big players, the possibility of Bitcoin’s price pushing beyond the $150,000 to $160,000 range looks increasingly likely, which would have a major impact on the entire market. Despite strong accumulation trends, technical indicators suggest a mixed market outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 46.44, having come down from overbought levels above 70. This puts Bitcoin in a neutral zone for now, meaning neither strong buying nor selling pressure is clearly dominating. However, if the RSI were to fall below 40, we might see a more significant price correction. Related: Bitcoin Traders in Wait-and-See Mode Ahead of Fed Rate News Adding a note of caution is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The MACD line has crossed below the signal line, and the negative bars on the histogram suggest some downward momentum in the short term. If this trend persists, Bitcoin could see some price dips before potentially finding support and bouncing back. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.