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Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, believes upcoming U.S. Treasury bond buybacks could inject major liquidity into markets and send Bitcoin to $110,000, or even as high as $200,000. In an Apr. 23 Substack article , Hayes pointed to the Treasury’s plan to issue new debt to repurchase older, less liquid bonds, commonly called off-the-run Treasuries. These bonds don’t trade as frequently, so buying them back could help smooth out the bond market while offering arbitrage opportunities for institutional investors. Hayes points out that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will probably rely more on bond issuance and buybacks to maintain market stability, given the widening U.S. deficits and declining tax revenue. According to Hayes, this mechanism will function similarly to quantitative easing, which is a strategy used by central banks to boost the money supply and stimulate the economy. However, in this instance, liquidity conditions are being essentially eased by the U.S. Treasury rather than the Federal Reserve. He argues that by lowering the yields on older bonds, this buyback strategy will encourage investors to look for higher returns in riskier assets, such as cryptocurrencies. At the same time, when bond markets become less volatile, investors will feel safer borrowing money to make bigger bets. This extra buying power can lead to larger price swings in riskier assets like Bitcoin ( BTC ), pushing prices up faster when as markets rise. Hayes points out that this pattern is similar to what occurred in late 2022 when a strong Bitcoin rally was fueled by growing market liquidity. He believes most investors are too focused on when the Fed will cut interest rates, overlooking the fact that the central bank has already slowed its quantitative tightening, which means it’s easing conditions behind the scenes. If liquidity keeps flowing, Bitcoin could reach $110,000 and then surge toward $200,000, Hayes predicted. And once BTC breaks that level, altcoins may see an even bigger surge as investors rotate into higher-risk assets.

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April 21, 2025 marks a turning point for the global economy. The dollar plunges, gold soars, and indices waver. A look back at a revealing day of current economic fragility! The American currency is losing ground against major currencies. The dollar has indeed reached a three-year low. This decline illustrates the doubts hanging over the health of the American economy. Currency traders now favor assets considered more stable. The American indices are also falling sharply. Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones have dropped by about 2.4%. These decreases reflect the tensions shaking the U.S. market. Nervousness is rising. Operators fear a lasting slowdown in activity. In Asia, the atmosphere remains calmer. The Shanghai Stock Exchange rises slightly, while Tokyo and Seoul limit losses. This contrast illustrates the diversity of regional economic dynamics. Asian markets assert themselves as pillars of stability in the face of Western shocks. Upstream, gold confirms its status as a safe-haven asset . It breaks a record above 3,485 dollars an ounce. This surge reflects investors’ concerns about a global economy seeking benchmarks. The Swiss franc and the yen also climb, indicating a massive retreat toward defensive assets. The repositioning of capital is becoming evident. Flows are leaving American assets to head toward areas perceived as less exposed to economic turbulence. This recomposition reflects a defensive strategy by fund managers. JPMorgan even paints a bleak picture. Their projections indicate a probability of recession greater than 90%. Such a scenario would disrupt global financial balance. But not only that! It would also redefine the priorities of major economic powers. One thing is certain! The financial markets send a clear signal: confidence is wavering. The global economy is thus entering a phase of caution, marked by rising uncertainties. Meanwhile, Swiss franc, yen: these assets regain a central role. Investors have every interest in reorganizing their portfolios to face a less supportive economic cycle.