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On the BTC/USD 1-hour chart, fleeting fragility persists as bitcoin carves successive troughs and wavers near the $93,607 support. Bears maintain their grip, with red candles swelling alongside elevated volume—a testament to the intense downward drive. Erratic price swings mirror trader indecision, while futile efforts to recapture $95,000 solidify this barrier as a formidable ceiling. A meaningful push above $95,500 demands a crescendo of buyer participation; conversely, slipping below $93,000 may invite a descent toward $91,000. BTC/USD 1H chart on Feb. 24, 2025. The 4-hour bitcoin chart paints a clear downward trajectory, marked by diminishing peaks and valleys. A swift reversal from $99,508 ignited a plunge to $93,340, cementing seller dominance. Volume patterns reveal fleeting recoveries smothered by eager profit-taking. Should bitcoin falter at $96,500, the path may tilt toward the psychological anchor of $90,000. Optimists must forge a stabilizing base and sustain an upward thrust to rewrite the narrative. BTC/USD 4H chart on Feb. 24, 2025. Zooming out, bitcoin’s daily chart illustrates a wider bearish consolidation since bitcoin’s $109,356 pinnacle. Prices persistently adhere to a downward-sloping resistance zone, with botched breakout bids amplifying the overarching decline. Though the $93,000 support clings to relevance, unrelenting selling activity looms as a potential wrecking ball. A rebound here might spark a fleeting rally toward $96,500, yet rejection at this juncture could validate deeper retracements. The bearish mantle remains until bitcoin storms past $97,000 with conviction. BTC/USD 1D chart on Feb. 24, 2025. The daily’s technical oscillators from the BTC/USD chart present conflicting signals: The relative strength index (RSI) (40), Stochastic (37), and CCI (-210) linger in neutral zones. However, the momentum indicator (-3,475) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) (-964) emit bearish alerts, bolstering a negative outlook. The awesome oscillator (-2,568) further affirms the market’s downward inclination. While neutral readings hint at tentative equilibrium, absent bullish divergence keeps the door ajar for further slides. The 24-hour moving averages (MAs) fortify the bearish thesis, with all short- and mid-term metrics—10, 20, 30, 50, and 100-period EMAs and SMAs—looming above current prices, signaling a continued downward trajectory. The 200-period EMA ($85,656) and SMA ($81,502) linger as distant safety nets, potential havens should downward velocity intensify. Until bitcoin surpasses crucial moving average thresholds, rallies will likely meet staunch opposition, leaving bears in command. Despite the current bearish structure, bitcoin remains above key support at $93,000, suggesting potential for a relief bounce toward $96,500 if buyers step in. Neutral oscillator readings indicate a possible stabilization phase, and if volume supports a breakout above $97,000, a short-term bullish reversal could take shape. Additionally, long-term moving averages at $85,656 and $81,502 continue to provide a solid foundation for a potential recovery. Until a decisive move below $93,000 occurs, bulls still have an opportunity to reclaim control. Bitcoin remains in a clear downtrend across all major timeframes, with lower highs and lower lows defining the market structure. The rejection from $99,508 on the 4-hour chart and persistent selling pressure reinforces the likelihood of further downside. With the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and momentum indicators signaling continued bearish momentum, bitcoin risks breaking below $93,000, which could open the door to a deeper correction toward $90,000 or lower. Unless buyers can reclaim $97,000 with conviction, the prevailing trend favors the bears. 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到[email protected]，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

$BTC : Here’s a look at the M2 Global Liquidity Index alongside Bitcoin (BTC). Historically, BTC has shown a strong correlation with global liquidity trends, but interestingly, M2 often moves first, acting as a leading indicator for Bitcoin’s price action. Based on recent data, M2 appears to be approximately 50 days ahead of BTC, suggesting that liquidity shifts could provide early insights into Bitcoin’s next major move. If this pattern holds, tracking M2 could offer valuable clues about BTC’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have experienced their second consecutive week of over $500 million in outflows leading up to Feb. 21. According to data from SoSoValue, the 12 spot BTC ETFs recorded $559.41 million in net outflows over the past week, continuing the negative momentum from the previous week, when they saw $585.65 million in net redemptions. Notably, U.S. BTC ETFs began the week from Feb. 18 to Feb. 21 with $60.63 million in outflows, reversing the positive flows observed on the last trading day of the prior week. Over the next two days, the negative momentum intensified, with increased outflows of $71.07 million and $364.93 million, the latter being the highest net outflow observed in February so far. The trend continued on Friday, Feb. 21, with investors withdrawing an additional $62.77 million. The majority of outflows on that day came from Grayscale’s GBTC, which saw $60.08 million exit the fund as it continued its outflow streak following its conversion from a trust structure. Bitwise’s BITB and Fidelity’s FBTC also contributed to the negative momentum, with outflows of $16.58 million and $12.47 million, respectively. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s IBIT returned to positive inflows, receiving $21.64 million, while VanEck’s HODL recorded a slight gain of $4.71 million. The total weekly trading volume for these investment vehicles stood at $10.72 billion. Since Feb. 6, Bitcoin ETFs have recorded $1.1 billion in net outflows, making February 2025 the worst month for withdrawals since their inception over a year ago. Despite the negative monthly trend, BTC ETFs managed to record net inflows on a few days: February 4, 5, 7, and 14. You might also like: Bitcoin price steady as Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, SCHD retreats Bitcoin ETF outflows raise investor concerns Bitcoin ETF outflows have sparked concerns about shifting investor sentiment. Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, pointed out that most spot Bitcoin ETF investors are primarily using these products for arbitrage strategies rather than long-term holdings. He noted that only about 44% of the inflows are actually tied to long-term investments. This suggests that the real demand for Bitcoin as a long-term asset in diversified portfolios may be lower than commonly portrayed in the media. Commenting on the recent weekly outflows from BTC ETFs, Kadan Stadelmann, CTO at Komodo Platform, told crypto.news that while Bitcoin ETFs are seeing capital outflows, Gold ETFs are experiencing inflows. This shift could indicate that investors are bracing for economic uncertainty. Another potential indicator? Berkshire Hathaway recently disclosed that it is holding a record-breaking $334.2 billion in cash. According to Stadelmann, this suggests the company is waiting for a market dip to buy assets and commodities at lower prices. Adding to investor uncertainty, Donald Trump recently stated that if re-elected, the U.S. will impose reciprocal tariffs on almost every country. This has raised concerns about inflation and trade disruptions, not only among investors but also at the Federal Reserve, as reflected in last week’s meeting minutes. At the same time, Bitcoin, often viewed as a leading indicator of market trends, has shown resistance and begun trending downward. Stadelmann believes this could signal a broader market selloff, particularly following Friday’s stock market decline. “These are the clues Bitcoin ETF investors are seeing, prompting them to move from ETFs into cash,” Stadelmann concluded. Read more: VanEck research reveals if Strategic Bitcoin Reserve can pay off US debt by 2049

⚡️ INSIGHT: Solana’s shift from memecoins to a serious blockchain depends on the approval of a Solana ETF, bringing institutional trust and enabling financial applications like payments and trading. With a growing user base, $12 billion in stablecoin supply, and a strong payment protocol, Solana is ready to move beyond its “meme chain” image.

Dogecoin (DOGE) traded relatively flat on Thursday, mirroring lackluster movements that have persisted since the beginning of the month. Notably, attempts to recover last week, after prices rebounded from a flash crash to $0.20 earlier this month, have been watered down, with the top meme coin wiping out all of last week’s gains. This silent price action comes amid a broader market trend. Further analysis reveals that key on-chain metrics, such as daily active addresses and transaction volumes, have remained relatively flat. On-chain data also indicates a notable decline in whale activity. On Thursday, analyst Ali Martinez observed that large DOGE holders have adopted a “wait-and-watch” approach, with no significant buying or selling activity in recent days. “Dogecoin DOGE whales have stayed on the sidelines during the recent volatility, showing little to no significant buying or selling activity,” Martinez tweeted, suggesting a cautious sentiment among major investors, which is contributing to the current price stability. Nevertheless, amid this price lull, analysts continue to assess this period as “the calm before the storm,” actively predicting triple-digit percentage gains. Popular crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade tweeted his outlook on Thursday, saying that Dogecoin has entered the “Boring Phase.” According to the pundit, traders should “Expect tight consolidation at the current level over the next few weeks before the massive DOGE rally.” Notably, the chart accompanying his tweet compared Dogecoin’s recent flat trend in February 2025 to a similar pattern before a major rally in late 2017, suggesting DOGE may experience weeks of tight price consolidation before a significant upward rally if history repeats. Earlier on Wednesday, the pundit also posted another analysis referencing Dogecoin’s weekly Stochastic RSI, a technical indicator that measures momentum. His analysis showed a crossover in the oversold zone, typically signaling a potential price rebound, supporting a bullish target of $1.50 per coin based on a target price inside an ascending channel. Elsewhere, analyst Dima Potts predicted that Dogecoin could surpass $10, citing a historical pattern of peaks occurring every four years. He highlighted that the first cycle saw a 21,821% surge over 1,442 days, while the second followed the same timeline with an even greater 54,890% increase. Potts believes Dogecoin’s next peak could arrive around mid-April 2025 if this trend continues. However, he also warned that DOGE would likely experience a decline before its next major rally. “With recent price action, DOGE has maintained its historical pattern. I expect Dogecoin to gradually move toward the purple line or the $0.28 range, similar to previous cycles. Beyond this level, we should see increased volatility, with prices consolidating before pushing toward new yearly highs and eventually all-time highs.” He wrote. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.24, reflecting a 2.13% drop in the past 24 hours.