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🚨 Core PCE Inflation Eases to 2.6% – What It Means for Markets & the Fed! 📉 The latest U.S. inflation data is in! Core PCE (the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge) slowed to 2.6% YoY in January, down from 2.9% in December. That’s a step closer to the Fed’s 2% target, but inflation isn’t fully tamed yet. 📊 Market Reaction: ✅ Stocks nudged higher, with S&P 500 futures up 0.3% – no inflation surprises kept investors at ease. ⚖️ Bonds barely moved, with the 10-year Treasury yield steady at 4.25% and the 2-year yield ticking up slightly – traders see no Fed cut yet, but also no hikes. 💵 The U.S. dollar softened slightly, as the data reinforced expectations that rate cuts are coming… just not right away. 💡 What’s Next for the Fed? 🔹 Investors are still betting on the first rate cut by June 2025 , with a second one possible by fall. But the Fed is preaching patience – they want to see more progress before easing. 🔹 Some officials, like Cleveland Fed’s Hammack, say inflation isn’t at 2% yet, so they’ll wait and watch before making a move. 🔹 The Fed’s game plan? Hold steady for now, wait for inflation to cool more, and potentially start cutting rates later in 2025. 🚀 Bottom Line: ➡️ Inflation is heading in the right direction, but it’s a slow grind – and the Fed won’t rush into rate cuts. ➡️ Markets remain calm, with no major surprises in the data. ➡️ Investors should stay focused on upcoming economic reports to see if the Fed’s easing path remains on track! Will the Fed cut rates sooner, or will inflation stay stubborn?

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