大仙说币:8.17比特币面临空方压力,需进一步回调修正
The U.S. Commerce Department released its retail sales report for July at 20:30 last night, resulting in a monthly increase of 1.0%, the highest since January 2023, far exceeding market expectations of 0.4%, and an annualized growth rate of 2.66%, suggesting that consumers remain resilient even in the face of high prices and high borrowing costs.However, it is worth noting that although retail sales in July hit the largest one-month increase in 19 months, but the data had previously been revised downward eight times, the specific economic situation still need more data to test.
In the U.S. retail sales improved at the same time, employment data has also improved, the Labor Department announced yesterday that the number of initial jobless claims in the last week by week by 7,000 people, down to 227,000, less than the market is expected to 235,000 people, in this multiple good data to dispel investors' doubts about the recession, the U.S. four major indexes higher across the board, including the semiconductor sector led by the rise in the NVIDIA rose4.05%, closing at $122.86, back above the 50-day moving average.Additionally, market forecasts for the probability of a one-size rate cut to 5.00-5.25% by the Federal Reserve Board in September rose to the current 74% from 64% the day before, while the probability of a two-size rate cut to 4.75-5.00% fell to 26% from 36%.
Bitcoin suffered a fierce short-side comeback after a failed attempt to stand back up to the $60,000 mark early this morning (16), and the market reversed downward all the way to $56,646, which coincides with the expiration of another $1.4 billion worth of options today. Unless Bitcoin can get up to the $60,000 mark once again, it will be under short-side pressure for a further retracement correction.
Bitcoin monthly level Bollinger band opening is larger, is now going to the middle rail support to go, KDJ in the high overbought region to form a dead fork, obvious bearish signals. MACD in the DIF line and the DEA line in the same is in the high turn down, there is a sign of the formation of a dead fork, the MACD red histogram is gradually shrinking, indicating that the power of the long side is gradually weakening; daily level price in the middle of the Bollinger band and the lower rail, hovering, back and forth to test the upper 606,000 yuan, the lower rail, and the lower rail.Hovering, back and forth test above 60650 resistance, below 62990 support, KDJ indicators are also in the high down to form a dead fork, obvious bearish signals, MACD in the DIF line and the DEA line has been running below the 0 axis, the possibility of a rebound, but it will not be very high, the operation of the 60650 for resistance, 62900 for support, high short low more.Intraday operation 59130 below the empty, the target to see yesterday's low of 56600 near, broken continue to hold.
Give you a hundred percent accurate advice, not as good as to give you a correct thinking and trend, after all, granting people with fish is not as good as granting people with fish, advice to earn a moment, ideas to learn to earn a lifetime!Focus on the ideas, for the grasp of the trend, for the layout of the market and position planning, all I can do is to use my practical experience, to give you help, so that your investment decisions and business management to walk in a correct direction.
Written: (2024-08-16,23:45)
(Wen - Da Xian said coin) hereby affirms: the network release has a delay, the above recommendations are for reference only.The author is committed to bitcoin, ethereum, cottage coins, foreign exchange, stocks and other investment areas of research and analysis, involved in the financial market for many years, has a wealth of experience in real operation, investment risk, the market need to be cautious.More real-time market analysis please pay attention to伀重號大仙说币 together to discuss and exchange.
美国商务部在昨晚20:30公布了7月份零售销售报告,结果月增幅1.0%,创下2023年1月以来新高,远超市场预期的0.4%,年增率2.66%,说明消费者即使在面对高物价和高借贷成本下依然保持弹性。不过,引人值得注意的是,虽然7月份零售销售创下19个月来最大单月增幅,但此前数据曾8次遭到向下修正,具体的经济状况仍然需要更多的数据来考证。
在美国零售销售好转之际,就业数据也有所改善,劳工部在昨日公布上周初领失业金人数按周次减少7000人,跌至22.7万人,少于市场预期的23.5万人,在这多重利好的数据下,打消了投资者们对经济衰退的疑虑后,美国四大指数全面走高,其中以半导体板块领涨,英伟达上扬4.05%,收122.86美元,重返50日移动平均线之上。另外,市场预测联准会9月降息一码至5.00-5.25%的概率从前一天的64%上升至当前的74%,降息两码至4.75-5.00%的概率则从36%下跌至26%。
比特币在今日(16)凌晨尝试站回60000美元关口失败后,遭受空头猛烈回击,行情反转向下,一路跌至56646美元,恰好又有价值14亿美元的期权在今日到期,除非比特币能再次登上60000美元关口,不然将会面临空方压力,进一步回调修正。
比特币月线级别布林带开口较大,目前正在往中轨支撑去走,KDJ在高位超买区域形成死叉,明显的看空信号。MACD中的DIF线和DEA线在同样是在高位拐头向下,有形成死叉的迹象,MACD红色柱状图逐渐缩小,说明多头力量正在逐渐减弱;日线级别价格在布林带中轨和下轨之间徘徊,来回测试上方60650阻力,下方62990支撑,KDJ指标也在高位向下形成死叉,明显的看空信号,MACD中的DIF线和DEA线一直在0轴下方运行,有反弹的可能性,但是不会很高,操作上就以60650为阻力,62900为支撑,高空低多。日内操作59130下方空,目标看昨日低点56600附近,破位继续持有。
给你一个百分百准的建议,不如给你一个正确的思路与趋势,毕竟授人与鱼不如授人与渔,建议赚一时,思路学会赚一生!注重的是思路,对于趋势的把握,对于行情的布局和仓位规划,我所能做的就是用我的实战经验,给大家帮助,让您的投资决策和经营管理走在一条正确的方向上。
撰稿时间:(2024-08-16,23:45)
(文-大仙说币)特此申明:网络发布具有延迟,以上建议仅供参考。笔者致力于比特币、以太坊、山寨币、外汇、股票等投资领域研究分析,涉足金融市场多年,拥有丰富的实盘操作经验,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。更多实时行情分析请关注伀重號大仙说币一起探讨交流。
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